Most forecasts by well-known financial institutions for 2023 early last year were gloomy and foreboding, and ended up being way off the mark, with global stocks ended the year at +20%. So what should we expect in 2024?

Many people listen to the forecasts because to them, getting it right could mean a windfall and a false sense of certainty to something which is highly unknowable.

While negative returns are part and parcel of investing, it happens less often than you think. The past four years are actually very representative of how markets work in general — positive returns 75% of the time, and losses, 1 out of 4 times.

As the year comes to end, we will see financial institutions and managers publishing their predictions and outlooks for 2023. How reliable are these forecasts?

2020 has been like no year before it. The same goes for its market.

All news is old news. Invest looking to the future, rather than base your decisions on outdated data.

What would happen if you followed the advice of well known investors, hedge fund managers and strategists - supposed experts in their field. Are they really able to beat the market?

As we head into 2020, it helps to look at financial forecasts with the hindsight gained from 2019.

Since the Singapore Summit ended, some market watchers and strategists have been predicting good times ahead. Others take a much more sceptical view. What should an investor do?

Wouldn’t it be great to know in advance whether the stock market will rise or fall and position ourselves to profit from it? In reality, nobody can get it right - not even the giants in investing. We show why it is detrimental to one’s health and wealth to play this fool’s game.

People often follow the herd. This can be devastating in investing.

Jason Zweig best described forecasting as an attempt to predict the unknowable by measuring the irrelevant. Unfortunately, that is what almost all financial institutions in this world are set up to do.

How many times do we have a certain mandate, only to switch to something else when we hear of a good idea from a magazine, a friend or the news?