Many people listen to the forecasts because to them, getting it right could mean a windfall and a false sense of certainty to something which is highly unknowable.

While negative returns are part and parcel of investing, it happens less often than you think. The past four years are actually very representative of how markets work in general — positive returns 75% of the time, and losses, 1 out of 4 times.

As the year comes to end, we will see financial institutions and managers publishing their predictions and outlooks for 2023. How reliable are these forecasts?

In the movie Back to the Future II, Biff travelled back in time to give himself a copy of a sports book which listed the results of every major sporting event for 50 years. How often have we wished we had something similar for investing — would having such an object enable you to invest better though?

Can investors consistently time the market? Will you be able to tell when to buy or sell? In this video, Jim Davis from Dimensional Fund Advisors runs more than 780 tests on data from 15 stock markets to see what the evidence says.